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Who thinks its All Over ?

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Luke

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Re: Who thinks its All Over ?
« Reply #30 on: April 20, 2013, 10:23:25 AM »
According to this Oxhey haven't passed the ground grading.  Not sure how reliable it is though.


http://t.co/6yiMl19UlV

The small table on the right hand side makes good reading should we hold on to second place.   ;)

Yes apparently that's what their manager was saying after our game, that they don't want promotion, but they do want to be runners up!
Grounds seen Aylesbury at: 186 | Steel Park, Corby
Total grounds: 253 | Last new: Bedfont Sports Recreation Ground, Bedfont

Re: Who thinks its All Over ?
« Reply #31 on: April 20, 2013, 11:28:59 AM »
Our worst case scenario is 91 points from 42 games. PPG 2.167

Our best case scenario 97 points from 42 games. PPG 2.309.

Best case scenario PPG for the other teams in the current top five:

VCD                       2.412
Wisbech                2.263
Redhill                   2.214
Epsom                   2.095
Gt Wakering          1.944

Very interesting!!!

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Ian

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Re: Who thinks its All Over ?
« Reply #32 on: April 20, 2013, 11:57:37 AM »
Our worst case scenario is 91 points from 42 games. PPG 2.167

Our best case scenario 97 points from 42 games. PPG 2.309.

Best case scenario PPG for the other teams in the current top five:

VCD                       2.412
Wisbech                2.263
Redhill                   2.214
Epsom                   2.095
Gt Wakering          1.944

Very interesting!!!

Don't forget Guernsey Steve, loads of games to play yet and I think their PPG will beat all of that lot if they manage to win all their games - however unlikely that may be.

Re: Who thinks its All Over ?
« Reply #33 on: April 20, 2013, 12:16:29 PM »
Very true, but one advantage of having only two games left to play is our PPG cant drop that much.

For Guernsey to at least  maintain their current PPG of 2.29, they would need to get 25 points from their remaining games.

Permutations for that to happen are:

11 wins
10 wins
9 wins
8 win 1 draw
7 wins 4 draws

Thats the only ways they can do it and considering they are playing so many games in such a short space of time.....gonna be hard. They have to win at least 7 of their last 11 games!!

Re: Who thinks its All Over ?
« Reply #34 on: April 20, 2013, 06:19:36 PM »
The problem is, that Guernsey will probably win the league and therefore runners up would be Egham who are currently 2.34 but are fortunately dropping points the moment.

Re: Who thinks its All Over ?
« Reply #35 on: April 21, 2013, 02:28:49 PM »
LETS HOPE WE CAN GET PROMOTION AWAY FROM THIS TIN POT WE ARE IN.

Re: Who thinks its All Over ?
« Reply #36 on: April 21, 2013, 05:39:29 PM »
Lets change Counties while we are at it !

Re: Who thinks its All Over ?
« Reply #37 on: April 21, 2013, 08:27:45 PM »
Have thoroughly enjoyed watching most home and away matches in this TP League this(and last) season.
Nothing much wrong with it from a spectator point of view.

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Leon

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Re: Who thinks its All Over ?
« Reply #38 on: April 22, 2013, 10:44:13 PM »
Unless I'm reading it wrong, the up-to-date version of the previously posted spreadsheet seems to suggest that we'll get promoted even if we finish third, due to Oxhey failing their ground grading...is it just me?!

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AqII2SlGRhT7dHIwSUdacDRlaDV3VkNsSjc3UVdqWnc#gid=0
Grounds I've seen the Ducks at: 178
Last new one: St Neot's Town

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Ian

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Re: Who thinks its All Over ?
« Reply #39 on: April 23, 2013, 09:10:33 AM »
I had the same thought Leon.  I guess we won't know for sure until the relegation roulette wheel has stopped spinning!

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andf

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Re: Who thinks its All Over ?
« Reply #40 on: April 23, 2013, 01:14:36 PM »
Either way the spreadsheet makes good reading

We must finish the job Saturday and can do no more

Good to see that just about eveyone else is caught up in a fixture backlog

It's great to have something to genuinely get excited about again

Re: Who thinks its All Over ?
« Reply #41 on: April 23, 2013, 01:41:43 PM »
We certainly seem to be in a good position. However, all we can do is win our last game on Saturday. That will leave us with a PPG ratio of 2.3095. Then we have to see how the others finish up. Can do no more.

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Lee

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Re: Who thinks its All Over ?
« Reply #42 on: April 23, 2013, 01:43:01 PM »
Either way the spreadsheet makes good reading

We must finish the job Saturday and can do no more

Good to see that just about eveyone else is caught up in a fixture backlog

It's great to have something to genuinely get excited about again

Imagine if there'd been a spreadsheet like that 10 years ago, I'd have been in my element!

Re: Who thinks its All Over ?
« Reply #43 on: April 23, 2013, 03:36:00 PM »
The two second placed clubs on a higher PPG than us both have lots of games left to play. Their league seasons wont finish till around 10th May so will be a bit of a wait for us!


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Lee

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Re: Who thinks its All Over ?
« Reply #44 on: April 24, 2013, 08:01:32 AM »
Unless I'm reading it wrong, the up-to-date version of the previously posted spreadsheet seems to suggest that we'll get promoted even if we finish third, due to Oxhey failing their ground grading...is it just me?!

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AqII2SlGRhT7dHIwSUdacDRlaDV3VkNsSjc3UVdqWnc#gid=0

The FA website seems to suggest that to be eligible for promotion you have to finish in the top three but only two teams can be promoted from any one league.

Assuming Oxhey can't go up someone needs to send the league committee some chocolates and handbags for their wives to make sure!